Polymarket market · Sports

Brentford FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5

Resolved: Under won · See it on Polymarket ↗

3 whales traded $66K on this market since Oct 31, 95% of their buying on Under. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 2.7¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Under won, with 95% of the whale buying on it. Of the 3 whales whose whole position we captured, 2 made +$76K and 1 lost −$404: +$76K between them. Biggest win: Glass-Supper, +$75K on Under. Biggest loss: Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf, −$404 on Over.

The whales on this market

3 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Glass-Supper
120 settled bets Beat the odds*
Under @ 44¢ $58K — +$75K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
5,712 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 56¢ $6.2K — −$404
Miserable-Poison
1,492 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Under @ 44¢ $1.2K — +$1.5K

Where the whale money went

  1. Under won
    $62K
    95% of whale buying · 3 buyers
  2. Over lost
    $3.4K
    5% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 31, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793516413).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-31? $99K 10 Won: No
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-31? $141K 25 Won: No
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) $71K 6 Won: Cavaliers
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-31? $61K 15 Won: Yes
Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5 $79K 8 Won: Under
Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz $165K 16 Won: Carlos Alcaraz
AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5 $149K 9 Won: Under
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Tallon Griekspoor vs Benjamin Bonzi $190K 15 Won: Benjamin Bonzi
About this data · run 1793516413, computed 2026-11-01 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793516413 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed