Oddball-Province
Skill vs luck
Oddball-Province on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–56%) · profit −$3.1K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 21, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Oddball-Province: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 21, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x6884705f262c7a067fa677ea66eccd9285e16ccf. Data CC BY 4.0.
Oddball-Province: −$3.1K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–56%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$3.1K
- Oct 5 – Oct 21
- −$2
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20 | SELL Pistons @ 99.9¢ | Celtics vs. Pistons ↗ | $2.1K |
| Sep 13 | BUY No
@ 50¢
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics |
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics | $1.6K |
| Sep 5 | BUY Cleveland Guardians @ 59¢ | Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians ↗ | $1.5K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?