Polymarket market · Sports

Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5

Resolved: Under won · See it on Polymarket ↗

8 whales traded $79K on this market since Oct 30, 60% of their buying on Under. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 0.7¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Under won, with 60% of the whale buying on it. Of the 8 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$35K and 3 lost −$32K: +$3.2K between them. Biggest win: Pristine-Hatred, +$21K on Under. Biggest loss: Glaring-Salt, −$28K on Over.

The whales on this market

8 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Pristine-Hatred
134 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Under @ 58¢ $29K — +$21K
Glaring-Salt
2,277 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 42¢ $28K — −$28K
Honest-Morbidity-Prospect
10 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Under @ 54¢ $13K — +$11K
Sharp-Crisis-Opposite
36 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 48¢ $2.4K — −$2.4K
Defenseless-Warrant-Escape
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Under @ 59¢ $2.0K — +$1.4K
Miserable-Poison
1,492 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Under @ 75¢ $1.9K — +$638
Rapid-Climate
120 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 42¢ $1.7K — −$1.7K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
5,811 settled bets Beat the odds*
Under @ 59¢ $1.1K — +$779

Where the whale money went

  1. Under won
    $47K
    60% of whale buying · 5 buyers
  2. Over lost
    $32K
    40% of whale buying · 3 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 30 to Oct 31, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793516413).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-31? $61K 15 Won: Yes
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-31? $141K 25 Won: No
Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz $165K 16 Won: Carlos Alcaraz
Brentford FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5 $66K 3 Won: Under
AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5 $149K 9 Won: Under
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Tallon Griekspoor vs Benjamin Bonzi $190K 15 Won: Benjamin Bonzi
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-31? $99K 10 Won: No
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) $71K 6 Won: Cavaliers
About this data · run 1793516413, computed 2026-11-01 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793516413 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed