Polymarket market · Sports

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

48 whales put $555K into this market since Oct 9, 65% of their buying on Yes. Yes won. Of the 29 whales whose whole position we captured, 20 made +$311K and 9 lost −$167K: +$144K between them.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 48
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Functional-Mink-Gloom
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 48¢ $150K — +$163K
Forceful-Cupola
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 59¢ $114K — −$114K
Euphoric-Alteration
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 48¢ $45K — +$49K
0x361b…74fe
45 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 47¢ $34K — +$38K
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
1,002 settled bets Worse than the odds
sold only $0 $25K —
Pristine-Hatred
99 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 44¢ $22K — +$28K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,639 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 57¢ $21K — −$15K
Unsteady-Quinoa
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 58¢ $12K — −$12K
Present-Grape-Drinking
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 59¢ $9.2K — −$9.2K
Weighty-Pleat
3 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 87¢ $9.0K — +$1.3K
Zesty-Credit-Maniac
44 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $9.0K —
Whopping-Molding
9 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 99¢ $4.0K $4.0K +$36
Steep-Tummy
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 88¢ $6.0K — +$828
All-Peasant-Drug
907 settled bets Worse than the odds
sold only $0 $5.5K —
Biodegradable-Pajamas-Pronunciation
3 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 46¢ $5.0K — +$5.9K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,760 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 46¢ $4.9K — +$5.8K
Spiffy-Revenue
28 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 57¢ $4.8K — −$4.8K
Scornful-West
176 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $4.4K —
Mealy-Eggnog
30 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 43¢ $4.3K — +$5.7K
Unfolded-Saffron
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 59¢ $4.1K — −$4.1K
Dishonest-Association
8 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 55¢ $4.0K — −$4.0K
Sorrowful-Ton
4 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $4.0K —
Straight-Gift
8 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 57¢ $1.0K $2.8K —
0x1372…4ce0
9 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 87¢ $3.0K — +$437
Runny-Printing-Referendum
4 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 45¢ $2.9K — +$3.6K

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes won
    $309K
    65% of whale buying · 21 buyers · $64K sold
  2. No lost
    $169K
    35% of whale buying · 11 buyers · $12K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 9 to Oct 11, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791788420).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5 $108K 13 Won: Over
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-11? $154K 10 Won: No
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 0.5 $52K 5 Won: Over
Eagles vs. Jaguars $949K 75 Won: Jaguars
Spread: Patriots (-3.5) $94K 8 Won: Patriots
Spread: Jaguars (-7.5) $728K 8 Won: Eagles
Texans vs. Titans: O/U 38.5 $172K 3 Won: Under
Spread: Commanders (-3.5) $161K 9 Won: Giants
About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed