Polymarket market · Sports

Spread: Patriots (-3.5)

Resolved: Patriots won · See it on Polymarket ↗

8 whales traded $94K on this market since Oct 9, 77% of their buying on Raiders. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 0.9¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Patriots won, with 24% of the whale buying on it. Of the 8 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$23K and 5 lost −$72K: −$49K between them. Biggest win: Glaring-Salt, +$11K on Patriots. Biggest loss: Grotesque-Answer, −$32K on Raiders.

The whales on this market

8 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Grotesque-Answer
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Raiders @ 51¢ $32K — −$32K
Flaky-Campaign
55 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Raiders @ 50¢ $20K — −$20K
Automatic-Kind
30 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Raiders @ 51¢ $16K — −$16K
Glaring-Salt
1,666 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Patriots @ 49¢ $11K — +$11K
Same-Kidney
67 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Patriots @ 49¢ $7.4K — +$7.7K
Loathsome-Decade
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Patriots @ 49¢ $4.1K — +$4.3K
Best-Jogging
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Raiders @ 52¢ $2.1K — −$2.1K
Well-Made-Sovereignty
133 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Raiders @ 49¢ $1.5K — −$1.5K

Where the whale money went

  1. Raiders lost
    $72K
    77% of whale buying · 5 buyers
  2. Patriots won
    $22K
    24% of whale buying · 3 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 9 to Oct 11, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791874803).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Raiders vs. Patriots $277K 25 Won: Patriots
Eagles vs. Jaguars $949K 75 Won: Jaguars
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5 $108K 13 Won: Over
Spread: Jaguars (-7.5) $728K 8 Won: Eagles
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-11? $154K 10 Won: No
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 0.5 $52K 5 Won: Over
Texans vs. Titans: O/U 38.5 $172K 3 Won: Under
Spread: Commanders (-3.5) $161K 9 Won: Giants
About this data · run 1791874803, computed 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791874803 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed