Mealy-Eggnog
0x8ce7eb8a3ad1d6907b24368865c8487a68fb3150
Mealy-Eggnog: −$15K on 29 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 41% (95% range 26%–59%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$15K
return −28.7%
Settled bets
29
$53K staked
Won
41.4%
95% range 26%–59%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 28 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$6.8K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$8.6K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$38
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7 | BUY Doosan Bears
@ 46¢
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. LG Twins |
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. LG Twins | $1.0K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Yes
@ 34¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27? |
Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27? | $1.1K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Yes
@ 41¢
Will IR Iran win on 2026-09-24? |
Will IR Iran win on 2026-09-24? | $1.0K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Yes
@ 44¢
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-09-20? |
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-09-20? | $1.9K |
| Sep 18 | BUY Yes
@ 55¢
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-09-19? |
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-09-19? | $4.0K |
| Sep 15 | BUY Diane Parry
@ 48¢
Guadalajara Open Akron: Diane Parry vs Peyton Stearns |
Guadalajara Open Akron: Diane Parry vs Peyton Stearns | $1.2K |
| Sep 13 | BUY Cincinnati Reds
@ 37¢
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers |
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers | $1.4K |
| Sep 12 | SELL Orix Buffaloes
@ 99.9¢
Orix Buffaloes vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles |
Orix Buffaloes vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles | $2.6K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.