Polymarket market · Sports
Spread: Commanders (-3.5)
Resolved: Giants won · See it on Polymarket ↗
9 whales traded $161K on this market since Oct 7, 90% of their buying on Giants. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 1.4¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Giants won, with 90% of the whale buying on it. Of the 7 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$129K and 2 lost −$16K: +$113K between them. Biggest win: Esteemed-Cloves, +$103K on Giants. Biggest loss: Foolish-Mezzanine, −$14K on Commanders.
The whales on this market
9 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esteemed-Cloves
59 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Giants @ 52¢ | $111K | — | +$103K |
| Same-Kidney
67 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Giants @ 53¢ | $16K | — | +$14K |
| Foolish-Mezzanine
33 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Commanders @ 48¢ | $14K | — | −$14K |
| Open-Fingernail-Bullet
123 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Giants @ 51¢ | $6.0K | — | +$5.8K |
| Sad-Worry
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Giants @ 53¢ | $5.6K | — | +$4.9K |
| Wry-Friction-Banquette
3 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $3.3K | — |
| Physical-Ideal
4 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.0K | — |
| Corrupt-Poisoning
312 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Commanders @ 49¢ | $1.3K | — | −$1.3K |
| Lumpy-Video
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Giants @ 53¢ | $1.1K | — | +$985 |
Where the whale money went
-
Giants won$140K90% of whale buying · 5 buyers
-
Commanders lost$16K10% of whale buying · 2 buyers · $5.2K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 7 to Oct 11, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1791874803).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giants vs. Commanders | $170K | 32 | Open | |
| Texans vs. Titans: O/U 38.5 | $172K | 3 | Won: Under | |
| Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 0.5 | $52K | 5 | Won: Over | |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-11? | $154K | 10 | Won: No | |
| Spread: Jaguars (-7.5) | $728K | 8 | Won: Eagles | |
| Spread: Patriots (-3.5) | $94K | 8 | Won: Patriots | |
| Eagles vs. Jaguars | $949K | 75 | Won: Jaguars | |
| Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5 | $108K | 13 | Won: Over |