Polymarket market · Sports

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-11?

Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗

10 whales traded $154K on this market since Oct 11, 80% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 0.9¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. No won, with 80% of the whale buying on it. Of the 9 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$33K and 3 lost −$25K: +$7.8K between them. Biggest win: Hoarse-Enactment-Tournament, +$26K on No. Biggest loss: Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf, −$15K on Yes.

The whales on this market

10 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Hoarse-Enactment-Tournament
9 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 74¢ $81K $9.6K +$26K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,684 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 27¢ $18K — −$15K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,825 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 27¢ $13K — −$7.3K
Creepy-Flintlock
16 settled bets Beat the odds*
No @ 72¢ $9.7K — +$3.8K
Frozen-Birdwatcher
81 settled bets Worse than the odds
No @ 99.8¢ $5.7K — +$11
Superior-Artificer-Heifer
106 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 73¢ $5.0K — +$1.8K
Grubby-Timeout
14 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $4.3K —
Handsome-Proponent
2 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 76¢ $2.0K $1.3K +$622
Favorable-Neuron
125 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 30¢ $2.9K — −$2.9K
Parallel-Trader
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 74¢ $2.2K — +$781

Where the whale money went

  1. No won
    $112K
    80% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $15K sold
  2. Yes lost
    $27K
    20% of whale buying · 3 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 11, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791874803).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11? $555K 48 Won: Yes
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5 $108K 13 Won: Over
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 0.5 $52K 5 Won: Over
Spread: Jaguars (-7.5) $728K 8 Won: Eagles
Spread: Patriots (-3.5) $94K 8 Won: Patriots
Eagles vs. Jaguars $949K 75 Won: Jaguars
Texans vs. Titans: O/U 38.5 $172K 3 Won: Under
Spread: Commanders (-3.5) $161K 9 Won: Giants
About this data · run 1791874803, computed 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791874803 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed