Euphoric-Alteration

0x0979bad57d7a1403db89cbcd9c52bf43f2138d9b

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Euphoric-Alteration: +$60K on 13 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 54% (95% range 29%–77%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$60K
return +30.8%
Settled bets
13
$193K staked
Won
53.8%
95% range 29%–77%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 13 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$60K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

In the live feed

SELL $55K
sold Cavaliers @ 99.9¢ → won

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 6 BUY Masamichi Imamura @ 64¢
Wuning 3: Masamichi Imamura vs Kaichi Uchida
Wuning 3: Masamichi Imamura vs Kaichi Uchida $1.0K
Oct 5 BUY Alex de Minaur @ 58¢
China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz
China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz $1.9K
Oct 5 BUY Alex de Minaur @ 58¢
China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz
China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz $1.1K
Oct 5 BUY Alex de Minaur @ 58¢
China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz
China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz $1.2K
Oct 5 BUY Alex de Minaur @ 58¢
China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz
China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz $3.4K
Oct 5 BUY Alex de Minaur @ 58¢
China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz
China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz $5.9K
Oct 5 BUY Alex de Minaur @ 58¢
China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz
China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz $26K
Oct 5 BUY Alex de Minaur @ 58¢
China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz
China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz $7.5K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed