Polymarket market · Esports

Dota 2: MOUZ vs OG - Game 1 Winner

Resolved: OG won · See it on Polymarket ↗

25 whales put $86K into this market since Oct 1, 67% of their buying on MOUZ. OG won. Of the 13 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$2.8K and 7 lost −$22K: −$19K between them.

The whales on this market

25 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Frugal-Beneficiary
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $13K —
Grounded-Pantologist-Income
115 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $13K —
Itchy-Citron
92 settled bets Can't tell from luck
MOUZ @ 69¢ $7.6K — −$7.6K
All-Peasant-Drug
891 settled bets Worse than the odds
OG @ 85¢ $1.6K $3.4K —
0xf3ce…a57a
86 settled bets Can't tell from luck
MOUZ @ 35¢ $4.9K — −$4.9K
Insistent-Catalogue
154 settled bets Can't tell from luck
MOUZ @ 36¢ $1.9K $2.7K —
Jittery-Variant
54 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $4.5K —
Close-Diction-Boolean
65 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $4.5K —
Periodic-Garbage
126 settled bets Can't tell from luck
OG @ 53¢ $1.9K $1.8K —
Medical-Subtitle-Leg
49 settled bets Beat the odds*
MOUZ @ 50¢ $2.8K — −$2.8K
Bouncy-Podcast-Origin
125 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.7K —
Happy-Go-Lucky-Nestling
193 settled bets Can't tell from luck
OG @ 66¢ $2.0K — +$1.0K
Exalted-Monkey
3 settled bets Too few bets
MOUZ @ 35¢ $1.9K — −$1.9K
Insignificant-Window-Recollection
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck
MOUZ @ 35¢ $1.8K — −$1.8K
Worthless-Researcher
68 settled bets Can't tell from luck
OG @ 80¢ $1.7K — +$410
Insubstantial-Utilisation
19 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.7K —
Unconscious-Pulley
34 settled bets Can't tell from luck
MOUZ @ 51¢ $1.7K — −$1.7K
Superior-Drawing
13 settled bets Too few bets
OG @ 71¢ $1.4K — +$554
Light-Role-Smuggling
12 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.2K —
Female-Baker-Teenager
115 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.2K —
Clever-Cottage
28 settled bets Can't tell from luck
MOUZ @ 32¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K
Expert-Statement
52 settled bets Can't tell from luck
OG @ 72¢ $1.1K — +$410
Hospitable-Commodity-Incandescence
5 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.0K —
Lively-Stirfry
65 settled bets Can't tell from luck
OG @ 85¢ $1.0K — +$180
Jumbo-Permafrost
74 settled bets Can't tell from luck
OG @ 81¢ $1.0K — +$236

Where the whale money went

  1. MOUZ lost
    $24K
    67% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $8.2K sold
  2. OG won
    $12K
    33% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $43K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 1, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed