Grounded-Pantologist-Income
0xb26fa000b3b281ba582bebc3457e12f0b8219536
Grounded-Pantologist-Income: +$24K on 115 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 44% (95% range 35%–53%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$24K
return +28.9%
Settled bets
115
$82K staked
Won
43.5%
95% range 35%–53%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 15 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$9
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$7.1K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$17K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 95¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner | $4.8K |
| Oct 10 | SELL Team Yandex
@ 97¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner | $3.9K |
| Oct 9 | SELL PARIVISION
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs |
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | $12K |
| Oct 9 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 97¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs |
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | $2.0K |
| Oct 9 | SELL PARIVISION
@ 71¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs |
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | $1.1K |
| Oct 9 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 96¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner | $2.0K |
| Oct 9 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 98¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner | $2.0K |
| Oct 9 | SELL PARIVISION
@ 99.03¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner | $8.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.