Bouncy-Podcast-Origin

0x51bef5ceb733fc728d3fb55e64600d4896cc12c2

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗
Profit
+$2.2K
return +2.1%
Settled bets
108
$107K staked
Won
34.3%
95% range 26%–44%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 39 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Aug 20 – Sep 4: −$3.2K Sep 4 – Sep 20: +$7.7K Sep 20 – Oct 5: −$2.3K
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 7 Sold Blasterbl at 99.9¢
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Blasterbl (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Blasterbl (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs $7.0K
Oct 7 Bought Blasterbl at 51¢
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Blasterbl (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Blasterbl (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs $1.5K
Oct 7 Sold Yellow Submarine at 99.9¢
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Blasterbl - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Blasterbl - Game 2 Winner $7.4K
Oct 6 Sold LEGION at 99.9¢
Dota 2: LEGION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: LEGION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner $6.9K
Oct 6 Sold Team Synapse at 99.9¢
Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner $5.0K
Oct 6 Bought Team Synapse at 45¢
Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner $2.2K
Oct 6 Sold Team Synapse at 99.9¢
Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner $5.1K
Oct 6 Bought HULIGANI at 53¢
Dota 2: HULIGANI vs CyberHero (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Dota 2: HULIGANI vs CyberHero (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs $1.3K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*) · computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed