Hospitable-Commodity-Incandescence

0x51d8f921a884752ebbc97ae83270b75bd5d16b16

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Hospitable-Commodity-Incandescence: +$642 on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 40% (95% range 12%–77%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$642
return +27.9%
Settled bets
5
$2.3K staked
Won
40.0%
95% range 12%–77%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$642
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 BUY PARIVISION @ 81¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs $1.2K
Oct 9 BUY Team Spirit @ 75¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner $1.1K
Oct 8 SELL Team Yandex @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs $1.4K
Oct 8 SELL Aurora @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 1 Winner $1.5K
Oct 1 SELL OG @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: MOUZ vs OG - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: MOUZ vs OG - Game 1 Winner $1.0K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed