Superior-Drawing

0x149a9ec31ae097faa33b2f2ae8df659889c149d0

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Superior-Drawing: +$1.3K on 11 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 27% (95% range 10%–57%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$1.3K
return +37.9%
Settled bets
11
$3.4K staked
Won
27.3%
95% range 10%–57%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$751
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$4
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$544
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 BUY Team Spirit @ 70¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs $1.3K
Oct 9 BUY Aurora @ 62¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner $1.2K
Oct 3 SELL Team Yandex @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner $2.9K
Oct 1 BUY OG @ 71¢
Dota 2: MOUZ vs OG - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: MOUZ vs OG - Game 1 Winner $1.4K
Sep 27 SELL LGD Gaming @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner $2.0K
Sep 26 SELL Team Yandex @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner $2.5K
Sep 23 SELL LGD Gaming @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner $2.2K
Sep 19 SELL GamerLegion @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Cobra - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Cobra - Game 2 Winner $1.2K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed