Clever-Cottage
0xa8f16d8d3236e1c84c0c5749ceff7f1ccd45fee6
Clever-Cottage: +$9.9K on 18 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 72% (95% range 49%–88%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$9.9K
return +9.0%
Settled bets
18
$111K staked
Won
72.2%
95% range 49%–88%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 18 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$1.9K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$1.0K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$9.1K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY LGD Gaming
@ 42¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner | $1.5K |
| Oct 9 | BUY 1win
@ 18¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner | $1.7K |
| Oct 9 | BUY 1win
@ 97¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner | $17K |
| Oct 9 | BUY 1win
@ 99¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner | $3.0K |
| Oct 9 | BUY 1win
@ 30¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner | $1.8K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Aurora
@ 41¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs |
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | $1.8K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Aurora
@ 40¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner | $1.8K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Team Yandex
@ 37¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs |
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | $1.9K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.