Light-Role-Smuggling
0x8d199dd546d2acf5bc5f0eccc13cc802d429e27c
Light-Role-Smuggling: −$16 on 12 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–24%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$16
return —
Settled bets
12
$0 staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–24%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$3
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$3
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$10
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | SELL PARIVISION
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs |
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | $1.2K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Aurora
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner | $1.2K |
| Oct 7 | SELL Shopify Rebellion
@ 99.9¢
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner | $1.0K |
| Oct 4 | SELL LYON
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 3 Winner | $2.0K |
| Oct 1 | SELL Aurora
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group D |
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group D | $1.1K |
| Oct 1 | SELL OG
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: MOUZ vs OG - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: MOUZ vs OG - Game 1 Winner | $1.2K |
| Sep 30 | SELL Xtreme Gaming
@ 99.9¢
Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Level UP (+1.5) |
Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Level UP (+1.5) | $1.4K |
| Sep 24 | SELL Natus Vincere
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | $1.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.