Polymarket market · Esports

Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)

Resolved: Nongshim RedForce won · See it on Polymarket ↗

12 whales put $144K into this market since Sep 30, 75% of their buying on Nongshim RedForce. Nongshim RedForce won. Of the 7 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$65K and 2 lost −$32K: +$33K between them.

The whales on this market

12 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Rosy-Trinket
92 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Nongshim RedForce @ 59¢ $69K — +$49K
Well-Documented-Outrigger
135 settled bets Can't tell from luck
XLG Gaming @ 42¢ $30K — −$30K
Alert-Twister-Chicken
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Nongshim RedForce @ 60¢ $18K — +$12K
Busy-Catalysis
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Nongshim RedForce @ 59¢ $1.9K $8.1K —
Political-Endothelium
114 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Nongshim RedForce @ 57¢ $1.2K $3.2K —
Ill-Mind
109 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Nongshim RedForce @ 58¢ $2.9K — +$2.1K
Harmless-Region
179 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Nongshim RedForce @ 59¢ $2.3K — +$1.6K
Shadowy-Infiltration-Doctorate
4 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.8K —
Infinite-Authorization
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.7K —
Soft-Certainty-Senate
7 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.5K —
All-Peasant-Drug
891 settled bets Worse than the odds
XLG Gaming @ 43¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
Heavenly-Conservation-Stucco
2 settled bets Too few bets
Nongshim RedForce @ 57¢ $1.1K — +$841

Where the whale money went

  1. Nongshim RedForce won
    $96K
    75% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $16K sold
  2. XLG Gaming lost
    $32K
    25% of whale buying · 2 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 30 to Oct 1, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

More esports markets the whales bet on

All Esports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 Winner $88K 19 Won: Nongshim RedForce
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D $189K 13 Won: Nongshim RedForce
Dota 2: MOUZ vs OG - Game 1 Winner $86K 25 Won: OG
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner $138K 37 Won: Team Yandex
Dota 2: MOUZ vs OG - Game 2 Winner $50K 13 Won: OG
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner $135K 39 Won: Team Yandex
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner $143K 42 Won: Team Liquid
Valorant: TYLOO vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C $300K 28 Won: Team Liquid
About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed