Jittery-Variant
0xbb147768500572730f03ee17cbb639e8a16b49b2
Jittery-Variant: +$51 on 45 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 38% (95% range 25%–52%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$51
return +0.1%
Settled bets
45
$44K staked
Won
37.8%
95% range 25%–52%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 15 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$576
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$224
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$749
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | SELL LGD Gaming
@ 33¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner | $1.2K |
| Oct 8 | SELL Blasterbl
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: LEGION vs Blasterbl - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: LEGION vs Blasterbl - Game 2 Winner | $1.9K |
| Oct 8 | BUY 1win
@ 43¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 2 Winner | $1.6K |
| Oct 7 | BUY LEGION
@ 95¢
Dota 2: Team Synapse vs LEGION - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Synapse vs LEGION - Game 1 Winner | $2.1K |
| Oct 6 | BUY LEGION
@ 70¢
Dota 2: LEGION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: LEGION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner | $1.1K |
| Oct 6 | BUY MOUZ
@ 65¢
Dota 2: LEGION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: LEGION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner | $2.0K |
| Oct 6 | SELL Team Synapse
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner | $6.0K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Team Synapse
@ 80¢
Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner | $2.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.