Itchy-Citron
0x08c263965a9cbec5e83ac1d6f14b9bbc957bc023
Itchy-Citron: +$67K on 78 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 65% (95% range 54%–75%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$67K
return +21.7%
Settled bets
78
$310K staked
Won
65.4%
95% range 54%–75%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 72 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$30K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$3.6K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$34K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY LGD Gaming
@ 48¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner | $1.5K |
| Oct 9 | BUY LGD Gaming
@ 44¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner | $1.5K |
| Oct 9 | BUY LGD Gaming
@ 35¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner | $1.5K |
| Oct 9 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 90¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs |
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | $2.1K |
| Oct 9 | BUY 1win
@ 17¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner | $1.1K |
| Oct 9 | BUY 1win
@ 31¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner | $1.5K |
| Oct 9 | BUY 1win
@ 32¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner | $1.1K |
| Oct 9 | BUY 1win
@ 31¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner | $1.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.