Unconscious-Pulley
0x823dd0c85a04676ceb4894891605e597ca98f85b
Unconscious-Pulley: −$2.8K on 34 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 24% (95% range 12%–40%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$2.8K
return −14.5%
Settled bets
34
$19K staked
Won
23.5%
95% range 12%–40%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 15 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$797
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$602
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$1.4K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY T1
@ 52¢
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs |
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | $1.2K |
| Oct 7 | SELL Shopify Rebellion
@ 99.9¢
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner | $2.0K |
| Oct 6 | SELL LGD Gaming
@ 99.9¢
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | $1.3K |
| Oct 6 | SELL Natus Vincere
@ 99.9¢
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner | $2.0K |
| Oct 5 | SELL Natus Vincere
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner | $3.1K |
| Oct 3 | SELL FURIA Esports
@ 99.9¢
LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winner | $1.8K |
| Oct 3 | BUY FURIA Esports
@ 56¢
LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winner | $1.0K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Aurora
@ 34¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner | $1.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.