Polymarket market · Esports

Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D

Resolved: Nongshim RedForce won · See it on Polymarket ↗

13 whales put $189K into this market since Oct 1, 93% of their buying on Nongshim RedForce. Nongshim RedForce won. Of the 10 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$21K and 4 lost −$9.5K: +$12K between them.

The whales on this market

13 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Rosy-Trinket
79 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Nongshim RedForce @ 85¢ $58K — +$10K
Ironclad-Instructor
77 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $52K —
Alert-Twister-Chicken
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Nongshim RedForce @ 86¢ $48K — +$7.8K
Muffled-Advertising
108 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Nongshim RedForce @ 86¢ $7.0K — +$1.1K
Annual-Donation-Land
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Nongshim RedForce @ 86¢ $6.0K — +$980
Jaunty-Deduce-Fit
6 settled bets Too few bets
Nongshim RedForce @ 98¢ $4.4K — +$93
Acceptable-Fishbone
6 settled bets Too few bets
XLG Gaming @ 29¢ $3.7K — −$3.7K
Alienated-Analysis
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck
XLG Gaming @ 16¢ $3.2K — −$3.2K
Golden-Developer-Walk
4 settled bets Too few bets
Nongshim RedForce @ 70¢ $1.9K — +$805
Likable-Fry-Astrakhan
2 settled bets Too few bets
XLG Gaming @ 15¢ $1.6K — −$1.6K
Noteworthy-Clinic
4 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.1K —
Ripe-Aquarium
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck
XLG Gaming @ 15¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K
Thirsty-Detector
9 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.0K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Nongshim RedForce won
    $126K
    93% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $53K sold
  2. XLG Gaming lost
    $9.5K
    7% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $1.1K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 1, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed