Unfinished-Rebellion

0x1944ec2927cb2a86fcad6e555ef25ea65ec98088

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Unfinished-Rebellion: +$2.5K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 15%–85%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$2.5K
return +107.0%
Settled bets
4
$2.3K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 15%–85%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$2.5K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 3 BUY 4ikibamboni @ 28¢
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Power Rangers (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Power Rangers (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A $2.2K
Aug 26 BUY HANJIN BRION @ 33¢
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Play-In
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Play-In $2.3K
Aug 26 SELL Aurora Gaming @ 26¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A $2.5K
Aug 22 SELL Team Spirit @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner $4.3K
Aug 22 SELL Team Liquid @ 42¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs $2.3K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed