Definitive-Spat
Skill vs luck
Definitive-Spat on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–66%) · profit −$2. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 2, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Definitive-Spat: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 2, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xa291928241d3522fb8a092db9c11ec69f4390d81. Data CC BY 4.0.
Definitive-Spat: −$2 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–66%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 18 – Nov 2
- −$2
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | SELL Liquid @ 99.9¢ | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B ↗ | $1.1K |
| Oct 30 | SELL Top Esports @ 99.9¢ | LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $1.3K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.