Dim-Holiday-Capability
0x4b10fb0719201c74bc2ca2fe5b843b4209c87bde
Dim-Holiday-Capability: −$3.9K on 13 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 31% (95% range 13%–58%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$3.9K
return −23.9%
Settled bets
13
$16K staked
Won
30.8%
95% range 13%–58%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 8 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$3.9K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2 | BUY Karolina Pliskova
@ 23¢
US Open WTA: Karolina Pliskova vs Diana Shnaider |
US Open WTA: Karolina Pliskova vs Diana Shnaider | $1.5K |
| Aug 30 | SELL Aurora Gaming
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A |
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A | $1.3K |
| Aug 29 | BUY BNK FEARX
@ 35¢
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Playoffs |
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Playoffs | $1.9K |
| Aug 28 | SELL Elise Mertens
@ 99.9¢
Monterrey Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elise Mertens |
Monterrey Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elise Mertens | $2.5K |
| Aug 28 | SELL Diane Parry
@ 99.9¢
Monterrey Open: Clara Tauson vs Diane Parry |
Monterrey Open: Clara Tauson vs Diane Parry | $2.9K |
| Aug 27 | SELL Legacy
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B | $3.0K |
| Aug 27 | SELL Inner Circle Esports
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B | $4.5K |
| Aug 27 | BUY Inner Circle Esports
@ 33¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B | $1.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.