Spiteful-Crime-Misplacement
Skill vs luck
Spiteful-Crime-Misplacement on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 100% (95% range 21%–100%) · profit +$3.0K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 2, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Spiteful-Crime-Misplacement: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 2, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x2ca4b7423a1e3632a5dba294e2ec4a9492da1699. Data CC BY 4.0.
Spiteful-Crime-Misplacement: +$3.0K on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 21%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 18 – Nov 2
- +$3.0K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | BUY Liquid @ 32¢ | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B ↗ | $1.4K |
All 1 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.