Polymarket market · Other

SMU vs. Florida State

Resolved: SMU won · See it on Polymarket ↗

22 whales put $171K into this market since Sep 7, 78% of their buying on SMU. SMU won. Of the 17 whales whose whole position we captured, 12 made +$62K and 5 lost −$27K: +$35K between them.

The whales on this market

22 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
0x78be…bde0
194 settled bets Can't tell from luck
SMU @ 55¢ $38K — +$31K
Snappy-Basketball
282 settled bets Can't tell from luck
SMU @ 65¢ $18K $4.9K —
Warlike-Other
7 settled bets Too few bets
SMU @ 64¢ $19K — +$11K
Substantial-Service
750 settled bets Beat the odds*
Florida State @ 33¢ $12K — −$12K
Mortified-Keystone
98 settled bets Can't tell from luck
SMU @ 59¢ $12K — +$8.2K
Agitated-Bricklaying
493 settled bets Can't tell from luck
SMU @ 57¢ $8.3K — +$3.7K
Sparse-Outset
327 settled bets Can't tell from luck
SMU @ 75¢ $8.1K — +$2.7K
Unwieldy-Supporter
434 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Florida State @ 27¢ $7.8K — −$7.8K
Idolized-Haste
4 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $7.2K —
Exemplary-House
4 settled bets Too few bets
Florida State @ 46¢ $4.1K $2.3K —
Unwelcome-Tile
4 settled bets Too few bets
SMU @ 73¢ $4.4K — +$1.6K
Past-Punishment
271 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $4.1K —
Oblong-Ammunition
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck
SMU @ 76¢ $1.7K $2.2K +$525
Knowledgeable-Steel
67 settled bets Can't tell from luck
SMU @ 66¢ $3.4K — −$3.4K
Kaleidoscopic-Clue
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $3.3K —
Exhausted-Frosting
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck
SMU @ 58¢ $2.0K — +$1.4K
Blond-Alliance
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Florida State @ 43¢ $1.9K — −$1.9K
Brown-Triumph
2 settled bets Too few bets
Florida State @ 33¢ $1.7K — −$1.7K
0x9a3f…914a
59 settled bets Can't tell from luck
SMU @ 64¢ $1.6K — +$900
Obvious-Geyser-Cutlet
147 settled bets Can't tell from luck
SMU @ 74¢ $1.3K — +$460
Loving-Atheist
64 settled bets Can't tell from luck
SMU @ 83¢ $1.2K — +$246
Homely-Guilty
9 settled bets Too few bets
SMU @ 60¢ $1.0K — +$667

Where the whale money went

  1. SMU won
    $115K
    78% of whale buying · 13 buyers · $19K sold
  2. Florida State lost
    $29K
    20% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $4.9K sold
  3. SMU lost
    $3.4K
    2% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 7 to Sep 8, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed