Warlike-Other
0x52f5efdfb8759d4b9be1fbe63f80401474445e8a
Warlike-Other: −$12K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 86% (95% range 49%–97%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$12K
return −5.6%
Settled bets
7
$223K staked
Won
85.7%
95% range 49%–97%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 7
- +$13K
- Sep 7 – Sep 25
- −$25K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.6%
(2,332 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17 | BUY Bills
@ 70¢
Lions vs. Bills |
Lions vs. Bills | $35K |
| Sep 10 | BUY Patriots
@ 80¢
Patriots vs. Seahawks |
Patriots vs. Seahawks | $75K |
| Sep 8 | BUY Frances Tiafoe
@ 60¢
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen |
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen | $30K |
| Sep 8 | BUY SMU
@ 64¢
SMU vs. Florida State |
SMU vs. Florida State | $19K |
| Sep 7 | BUY Elena Rybakina
@ 59¢
US Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Elena Rybakina |
US Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Elena Rybakina | $5.9K |
| Sep 6 | BUY LSU
@ 78¢
Clemson vs. LSU |
Clemson vs. LSU | $31K |
| Sep 5 | BUY Naomi Osaka
@ 87¢
US Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens |
US Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens | $27K |
All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.