Homely-Guilty
0x53a1a7bbd8c025157adfac80c7c7b2ba630d76b7
Homely-Guilty: −$159 on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 56% (95% range 27%–81%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$159
return −2.1%
Settled bets
9
$7.8K staked
Won
55.6%
95% range 27%–81%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$1.6K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$1.8K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | BUY Yes
@ 57¢
Will Germany win on 2026-09-24? |
Will Germany win on 2026-09-24? | $1.8K |
| Sep 21 | SELL Federica Urgesi
@ 80¢
Tolentino: Federica Urgesi vs Oksana Selekhmeteva |
Tolentino: Federica Urgesi vs Oksana Selekhmeteva | $1.1K |
| Sep 14 | BUY Yes
@ 64¢
Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-14? |
Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-14? | $1.0K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Yes
@ 50¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12? |
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12? | $1.0K |
| Sep 11 | BUY Karen Khachanov
@ 21¢
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Karen Khachanov |
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Karen Khachanov | $1.0K |
| Sep 9 | BUY Toronto Blue Jays
@ 69¢
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Athletics |
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Athletics | $1.0K |
| Sep 8 | BUY Yes
@ 54¢
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08? |
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08? | $1.0K |
| Sep 8 | BUY SMU
@ 60¢
SMU vs. Florida State |
SMU vs. Florida State | $1.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.