Blond-Alliance
0xf9fe29004c5a905c7b78bbb930ac57feea67366b
Blond-Alliance: −$44K on 23 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 52% (95% range 33%–71%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$44K
return −27.0%
Settled bets
23
$164K staked
Won
52.2%
95% range 33%–71%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 23 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$47K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$2.4K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3 | BUY Ohio State
@ 86¢
Ohio State vs. Iowa |
Ohio State vs. Iowa | $15K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Georgia
@ 96¢
Vanderbilt vs. Georgia |
Vanderbilt vs. Georgia | $6.1K |
| Oct 3 | BUY SMU
@ 93¢
Boston College vs. SMU |
Boston College vs. SMU | $23K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Under
@ 52¢
West Virginia vs. Iowa State: O/U 53.5 |
West Virginia vs. Iowa State: O/U 53.5 | $3.5K |
| Sep 20 | BUY IND
@ 49¢
Spread: KC (-5.5) |
Spread: KC (-5.5) | $1.3K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Gable Steveson
@ 91¢
UFC 331: Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf (Heavyweight, Prelims) |
UFC 331: Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf (Heavyweight, Prelims) | $21K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Alabama
@ 71¢
Florida State vs. Alabama |
Florida State vs. Alabama | $3.6K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Joanderson Brito
@ 79¢
UFC 331: Giga Chikadze vs. Joanderson Brito (Featherweight, Early Prelims) |
UFC 331: Giga Chikadze vs. Joanderson Brito (Featherweight, Early Prelims) | $8.7K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.