Kaleidoscopic-Clue

0x50f97e9c24050ca2cd7f0fef900df984e1d0c327

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Kaleidoscopic-Clue: −$7.4K on 18 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 39% (95% range 20%–61%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$7.4K
return −22.1%
Settled bets
18
$34K staked
Won
38.9%
95% range 20%–61%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 9 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$1.1K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$9.6K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$1.0K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 6 BUY Los Angeles Dodgers @ 50¢
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves $1.5K
Oct 6 BUY FURIA @ 63¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $1.3K
Oct 3 BUY Florida @ 59¢
Florida vs. Missouri
Florida vs. Missouri $2.6K
Oct 2 BUY Panthers @ 54¢
Panthers vs. Sharks
Panthers vs. Sharks $2.3K
Sep 30 SELL Panthers @ 99.9¢
Panthers vs. Hurricanes
Panthers vs. Hurricanes $4.9K
Sep 29 SELL Eagles @ 33¢
Eagles vs. Bears
Eagles vs. Bears $7.9K
Sep 25 BUY Los Angeles Dodgers @ 61¢
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers $2.0K
Sep 20 SELL Florida @ 99.9¢
Florida vs. Auburn
Florida vs. Auburn $1.1K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed