Polymarket market · Other

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-07?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

12 whales put $59K into this market since Sep 6, 60% of their buying on Yes. Yes won. Of the 10 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$7.8K and 4 lost −$11K: −$3.2K between them.

The whales on this market

12 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,575 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 55¢ $19K — −$5.1K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,484 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 75¢ $11K — +$3.6K
Unlined-Observation
50 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 87¢ $1.4K $8.8K —
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,072 settled bets Beat the odds*
No @ 56¢ $3.7K — −$3.7K
Silky-Subroutine
202 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 59¢ $1.3K $1.0K −$307
Miserable-Poison
1,032 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 66¢ $2.2K — +$1.1K
Substantial-Service
750 settled bets Beat the odds*
Yes @ 87¢ $2.0K — +$304
Welcome-Concept
49 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 94¢ $2.0K — +$128
Necessary-Geometry
5 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 89¢ $1.8K — −$1.8K
Gracious-Remains
8 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 43¢ $1.7K — +$2.3K
Mean-Recruit-Idea
80 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 88¢ $1.7K — +$231
Fuzzy-Cassock
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.1K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes won
    $29K
    60% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $9.9K sold
  2. No lost
    $19K
    40% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $1.0K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 6 to Sep 7, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed