Unwelcome-Tile

0x64e98144ac3893cb8e8845f16698b3ecbbc89324

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Unwelcome-Tile: +$2.5K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 51%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$2.5K
return +25.2%
Settled bets
4
$10K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 51%–100%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$276
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$2.2K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$103
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 3 BUY Yes @ 96¢
Will Damian Pinas win by KO or TKO?
Will Damian Pinas win by KO or TKO? $2.6K
Sep 12 BUY Missouri @ 67¢
Spread: Missouri (-7.5)
Spread: Missouri (-7.5) $1.1K
Sep 8 BUY SMU @ 73¢
SMU vs. Florida State
SMU vs. Florida State $4.4K
Aug 23 BUY Vitor Petrino @ 88¢
UFC Fight Night: Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino (Heavyweight, Main Card)
UFC Fight Night: Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino (Heavyweight, Main Card) $2.0K

All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed