Knowledgeable-Steel
0x86eb13b20d774810b92a3be064718fec5a926566
Knowledgeable-Steel: +$5.2K on 59 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 49% (95% range 37%–62%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$5.2K
return +3.3%
Settled bets
59
$156K staked
Won
49.2%
95% range 37%–62%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 33 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$12K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$17K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$978
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | BUY Over
@ 67¢
Croatia vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 |
Croatia vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 | $6.5K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Novak Djokovic
@ 61¢
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur |
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | $4.0K |
| Oct 5 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
France vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5 |
France vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5 | $15K |
| Oct 5 | SELL Alex de Minaur
@ 99.9¢
China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz |
China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz | $12K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Alex de Minaur
@ 56¢
China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz |
China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz | $7.0K |
| Oct 4 | SELL 49ers
@ 60¢
Broncos vs. 49ers |
Broncos vs. 49ers | $9.2K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Over
@ 65¢
Republic of Ireland vs. Israel: O/U 2.5 |
Republic of Ireland vs. Israel: O/U 2.5 | $10K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Ugo Humbert
@ 64¢
Set Handicap: Jiri Lehecka (-1.5) vs Ugo Humbert (+1.5) |
Set Handicap: Jiri Lehecka (-1.5) vs Ugo Humbert (+1.5) | $6.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.