Polymarket market · Other
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗
9 whales put $55K into this market since Aug 20, 82% of their buying on No. No won. Of the 5 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$184 and 1 lost −$7.9K: −$7.7K between them.
The whales on this market
9 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zigzag-Complexity
6 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99.9¢ | $16K | — | +$16 |
| Nimble-Soliloquy
6 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99¢ | $8.2K | — | +$100 |
| Noted-Shop
4 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99.3¢ | $8.0K | — | +$56 |
| Attached-Example-Anesthesiologist
51 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 99¢ | $7.9K | — | −$7.9K |
| Quick-Cardboard
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $7.6K | — |
| 0x1664…c71c
2 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99.9¢ | $1.1K | $1.1K | — |
| Bare-Mambo
2 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.0K | — |
| Grand-Restoration
2 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99.4¢ | $2.0K | — | +$12 |
| Wicked-Implication
5 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.0K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
No won$35K82% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $11K sold
-
No lost$7.9K18% of whale buying · 1 buyer · $1.1K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 20 to Sep 8, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).