Polymarket market · Other

Oklahoma vs. Michigan

Resolved: Michigan won · See it on Polymarket ↗

26 whales put $267K into this market since Sep 6, 52% of their buying on Oklahoma. Michigan won. Of the 23 whales whose whole position we captured, 9 made +$103K and 14 lost −$84K: +$19K between them.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 26
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Scary-Fannypack
111 settled bets Beat the odds*
Oklahoma @ 52¢ $38K — −$6.0K
Snappy-Basketball
246 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Oklahoma @ 66¢ $35K — −$35K
Powerless-Savannah
2,259 settled bets Beat the odds*
Michigan @ 64¢ $32K — +$275
Shoddy-Harmonise
68 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Michigan @ 36¢ $31K — +$55K
Unwieldy-Supporter
432 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Michigan @ 49¢ $26K — +$5.4K
Scary-Edible
1,330 settled bets Beat the odds*
Oklahoma @ 59¢ $15K — −$4.1K
Unwieldy-Collagen
75 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Michigan @ 35¢ $12K — +$23K
Wonderful-Patio
46 settled bets Beat the odds*
sold only $0 $12K —
Esteemed-Cloves
52 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Michigan @ 35¢ $7.6K — +$14K
0xa0f2…1848
130 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Oklahoma @ 65¢ $6.5K — −$6.5K
Euphoric-Table
108 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Oklahoma @ 67¢ $6.5K — −$6.5K
Narrow-Authorization
57 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Oklahoma @ 57¢ $6.3K — −$6.3K
Unlined-Brownie
74 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Oklahoma @ 50¢ $6.3K — −$6.3K
Enchanted-Foal
124 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $5.8K —
Yawning-Chicken
216 settled bets Worse than the odds
Michigan @ 53¢ $3.8K — +$3.4K
Loathsome-Bubble
6 settled bets Too few bets
Oklahoma @ 51¢ $3.4K — −$3.4K
Illiterate-Counterforce
254 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Michigan @ 82¢ $3.1K — +$683
Dependable-Waterfront
384 settled bets Beat the odds*
Michigan @ 81¢ $3.0K — +$704
Extra-Large-Screwdriver
1 settled bets Too few bets
Oklahoma @ 65¢ $2.5K — −$2.5K
Tan-Glee
5 settled bets Too few bets
Oklahoma @ 66¢ $2.2K — −$2.2K
Hateful-Chord
157 settled bets Beat the odds*
Oklahoma @ 65¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
Zigzag-Clamp-Legume
37 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.3K —
Fake-Bitter
995 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Oklahoma @ 65¢ $1.3K — −$1.3K
Imaginary-Gallery
230 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Michigan @ 71¢ $1.3K — +$513
Gigantic-Popsicle-Walnut
8 settled bets Too few bets
Oklahoma @ 45¢ $1.2K — −$1.2K

Where the whale money went

  1. Oklahoma lost
    $128K
    52% of whale buying · 16 buyers · $12K sold
  2. Michigan won
    $120K
    49% of whale buying · 11 buyers · $7.1K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 6 to Sep 12, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed