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0xb3cfe7615d64db8dfa743a1b1a2b976911460ebd

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗
Profit
−$94K
return −12.7%
Settled bets
57
$739K staked
Won
73.7%
95% range 61%–83%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 57 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Aug 20 – Sep 4: +$6.9K Sep 4 – Sep 20: −$57K Sep 20 – Oct 5: −$44K
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 4 Bought Vikings at 92¢
Dolphins vs. Vikings
Dolphins vs. Vikings $1.9K
Oct 4 Bought Vikings at 92¢
Dolphins vs. Vikings
Dolphins vs. Vikings $2.3K
Oct 4 Bought Ravens at 99.65¢
Titans vs. Ravens
Titans vs. Ravens $5.5K
Oct 4 Bought Giants at 59¢
Spread: Cardinals (-7.5)
Spread: Cardinals (-7.5) $1.2K
Oct 4 Bought San Jose State at 48¢
Spread: San Jose State (-1.5)
Spread: San Jose State (-1.5) $2.1K
Oct 4 Bought San Jose State at 80¢
San Jose State vs. Hawai'i
San Jose State vs. Hawai'i $3.1K
Oct 4 Bought Baylor at 82¢
Baylor vs. Arizona State
Baylor vs. Arizona State $1.3K
Oct 3 Bought Heat at 78¢
Heat vs. Raptors
Heat vs. Raptors $2.8K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*) · computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed