Wonderful-Patio

0xfc0847fe2ea938d6e2624650eb29ef8d8142a137

Polymarket

Beat the odds* Check it on Polymarket ↗
Profit
+$73K
return +52.7%
Settled bets
46
$138K staked
Won
65.2%
95% range 51%–77%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Beat the odds (1 in 40 wallets do this by luck alone). We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 14 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Aug 20 – Sep 4: +$30K Sep 4 – Sep 20: +$29K Sep 20 – Oct 5: +$13K
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 6 Sold Senators at 97¢
Senators vs. Bruins
Senators vs. Bruins $2.3K
Oct 4 Sold Chiefs at 92¢
Chiefs vs. Raiders
Chiefs vs. Raiders $1.4K
Oct 4 Sold Chiefs at 92¢
Chiefs vs. Raiders
Chiefs vs. Raiders $5.7K
Oct 4 Bought Packers at 67¢
Packers vs. Buccaneers
Packers vs. Buccaneers $2.1K
Oct 4 Sold Jets at 30¢
Jets vs. Bears
Jets vs. Bears $2.0K
Oct 4 Sold Buccaneers at 24¢
Packers vs. Buccaneers
Packers vs. Buccaneers $2.4K
Oct 4 Sold Commanders at 52¢
Colts vs. Commanders
Colts vs. Commanders $1.8K
Oct 4 Sold Senators at 81¢
Senators vs. Maple Leafs
Senators vs. Maple Leafs $1.1K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*) · computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed