Polymarket market · Sports

US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton

Resolved: Ben Shelton won · See it on Polymarket ↗

63 whales put $383K into this market since Sep 10, 67% of their buying on Ben Shelton. Ben Shelton won. Of the 49 whales whose whole position we captured, 32 made +$43K and 17 lost −$84K: −$40K between them.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 63
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Substantial-Service
670 settled bets Beat the odds*
Frances Tiafoe @ 29¢ $48K — −$27K
Illustrious-Budget
46 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $27K —
Trivial-Ravioli
228 settled bets Worse than the odds
Ben Shelton @ 85¢ $25K — +$4.4K
Snappy-Basketball
246 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Ben Shelton @ 74¢ $22K — +$7.7K
0x78be…bde0
194 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Frances Tiafoe @ 28¢ $20K — −$20K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,235 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Ben Shelton @ 77¢ $19K — +$3.1K
Rusty-Reminder
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Ben Shelton @ 87¢ $13K — +$1.9K
Glaring-Salt
1,449 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Ben Shelton @ 72¢ $12K — +$2.6K
Flowery-Source-Stamina
3 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $12K —
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,172 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Ben Shelton @ 82¢ $11K — +$238
Multicolored-Trust
16 settled bets Too few bets
Ben Shelton @ 86¢ $10K — +$1.7K
Slow-Escape
321 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Frances Tiafoe @ 40¢ $9.9K — −$9.9K
Loving-Atheist
50 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $9.2K —
Taut-Horn
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Ben Shelton @ 88¢ $8.8K — +$1.2K
Unlined-Observation
43 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Ben Shelton @ 73¢ $6.8K $1.2K +$2.0K
Gullible-Snorer-Readiness
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $7.1K —
Welcome-Revenue
210 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Ben Shelton @ 87¢ $5.7K — +$855
Negligible-Somersault
102 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Frances Tiafoe @ 28¢ $5.5K — −$5.5K
Secret-Evaluator
98 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Frances Tiafoe @ 38¢ $2.7K $2.8K +$167
Delayed-Replacement
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Ben Shelton @ 70¢ $5.2K — −$555
Plain-Apparatus-Acre
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Ben Shelton @ 72¢ $4.5K — +$1.7K
Wicked-Urgency-Whole
2 settled bets Too few bets
Ben Shelton @ 88¢ $4.4K — +$620
Scary-Edible
1,330 settled bets Beat the odds*
Ben Shelton @ 73¢ $4.2K — +$1.6K
Miniature-Review
4 settled bets Too few bets
Frances Tiafoe @ 31¢ $4.0K — −$4.0K
Mortified-Keystone
98 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Ben Shelton @ 59¢ $3.9K — +$2.7K

Where the whale money went

  1. Ben Shelton won
    $202K
    67% of whale buying · 35 buyers · $75K sold
  2. Frances Tiafoe lost
    $99K
    33% of whale buying · 20 buyers · $3.9K sold
  3. Ben Shelton lost
    $2.8K
    1% of whale buying · 2 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 10 to Sep 12, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed