Polymarket market · Sports

Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Resolved: Baltimore Orioles won · See it on Polymarket ↗

10 whales put $60K into this market since Sep 11, 94% of their buying on Baltimore Orioles. Baltimore Orioles won. Of the 8 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$34K and 2 lost −$3.3K: +$31K between them.

The whales on this market

10 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Well-Worn-Slaw
93 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Baltimore Orioles @ 45¢ $25K — +$30K
Spicy-Dueling
42 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Baltimore Orioles @ 99.01¢ $8.7K — +$86
Fatal-Overheard-State
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Baltimore Orioles @ 84¢ $5.7K — +$1.1K
Wonderful-Patio
46 settled bets Beat the odds*
Baltimore Orioles @ 74¢ $3.0K $2.4K —
Illiterate-Counterforce
254 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Baltimore Orioles @ 95¢ $4.3K — +$227
Nervous-Database
5 settled bets Too few bets
Baltimore Orioles @ 45¢ $1.0K $2.1K —
Neighboring-Bunkhouse
73 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Baltimore Orioles @ 89¢ $2.7K — +$330
Valuable-Animal
83 settled bets Beat the odds*
Toronto Blue Jays @ 54¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
Glaring-Salt
1,449 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Baltimore Orioles @ 44¢ $1.8K — +$2.3K
Dependable-Waterfront
384 settled bets Beat the odds*
Baltimore Orioles @ 46¢ $1.3K — −$1.3K

Where the whale money went

  1. Baltimore Orioles won
    $52K
    94% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $2.1K sold
  2. Toronto Blue Jays lost
    $2.0K
    4% of whale buying · 1 buyer
  3. Baltimore Orioles lost
    $1.3K
    2% of whale buying · 1 buyer · $2.4K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 11 to Sep 12, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed