Flowery-Source-Stamina

0xf255cefbef5749f7436707632360d84f580ddce1

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Flowery-Source-Stamina: −$21K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 6%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$21K
return −96.9%
Settled bets
3
$21K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 6%–79%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
−$20K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$1.1K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 12 BUY Yes @ 85¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-13?
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-13? $1.8K
Sep 12 SELL Ben Shelton @ 89¢
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton $12K
Sep 2 BUY Brandon Nakashima @ 66¢
US Open ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Alex Michelsen
US Open ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Alex Michelsen $20K

All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed