Delayed-Replacement
0x7dde7e21a2a96b5d3c5a53587584c2889d525af9
Delayed-Replacement: +$8.2K on 31 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 61% (95% range 44%–76%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$8.2K
return +7.0%
Settled bets
31
$117K staked
Won
61.3%
95% range 44%–76%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 28 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$8.2K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12 | BUY Elena Rybakina
@ 85¢
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina |
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina | $4.3K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Aryna Sabalenka
@ 50¢
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina |
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina | $1.2K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Yes
@ 41¢
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? |
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | $2.1K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Elena Rybakina
@ 67¢
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina |
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina | $1.4K |
| Sep 12 | SELL Aryna Sabalenka
@ 28¢
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina |
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina | $1.1K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Aryna Sabalenka
@ 24¢
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina |
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina | $1.4K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Elena Rybakina
@ 70¢
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina |
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina | $3.6K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Elena Rybakina
@ 64¢
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina |
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina | $1.8K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.