Multicolored-Trust

0xbdc3e475821b3512b1ae1a492f89d15323e4c0ea

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Multicolored-Trust: +$29K on 16 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 51%–90%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$29K
return +31.5%
Settled bets
16
$93K staked
Won
75.0%
95% range 51%–90%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 9 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$21K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$6.8K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$1.8K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 8 SELL Nuno Borges @ 87¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Nuno Borges vs Facundo Acosta
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Nuno Borges vs Facundo Acosta $3.5K
Sep 27 BUY Alejandro Davidovich Fokina @ 75¢
Chengdu Open: Alexandre Muller vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Chengdu Open: Alexandre Muller vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina $3.8K
Sep 24 BUY Juan Carlos Prado @ 85¢
Buenos Aires 2: Juan Carlos Prado vs Valerio Aboian
Buenos Aires 2: Juan Carlos Prado vs Valerio Aboian $3.1K
Sep 18 SELL Nadia Podoroska @ 76¢
Sao Paulo Open: Nadia Podoroska vs Suzan Lamens
Sao Paulo Open: Nadia Podoroska vs Suzan Lamens $7.7K
Sep 18 BUY Nadia Podoroska @ 71¢
Sao Paulo Open: Nadia Podoroska vs Suzan Lamens
Sao Paulo Open: Nadia Podoroska vs Suzan Lamens $7.2K
Sep 12 BUY Ben Shelton @ 86¢
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton $6.9K
Sep 12 BUY Ben Shelton @ 85¢
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton $3.2K
Sep 9 SELL Jessica Pegula @ 72¢
US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro
US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro $2.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed