Scared-Mass
Skill vs luck
Scared-Mass on Polymarket: 4 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 15%–85%) · profit +$8.2K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 31, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Scared-Mass: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 31, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xcfb57aa646e1b88404068407acb44275d1e5e880. Data CC BY 4.0.
Scared-Mass: +$8.2K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 15%–85%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 16 – Oct 31
- +$8.2K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | SELL Magic @ 99.9¢ | Magic vs. Raptors ↗ | $2.9K |
| Oct 30 | BUY Valentin Vacherot @ 42¢ | Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot ↗ | $2.3K |
| Oct 30 | SELL Diana Shnaider @ 99.9¢ | Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider ↗ | $2.4K |
| Oct 30 | BUY Grizzlies @ 29¢ | Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers ↗ | $2.1K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.