Ironclad-Clone

0xc214dd7a3e8df73bee2799c68de0311b8ca3105d

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Ironclad-Clone: +$2.2K on 11 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 46% (95% range 21%–72%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$2.2K
return +27.0%
Settled bets
11
$8.3K staked
Won
45.5%
95% range 21%–72%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$1.4K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$826
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 1 SELL Team Liquid @ 95¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner $1.1K
Oct 1 BUY Team Liquid @ 58¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner $1.2K
Sep 30 SELL OG @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG - Game 2 Winner $2.2K
Sep 5 BUY Flavio Cobolli @ 63¢
US Open ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobolli
US Open ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobolli $1.4K
Aug 21 BUY Nigma Galaxy @ 41¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner $1.5K
Aug 21 SELL Nigma Galaxy @ 99¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner $2.4K
Aug 21 BUY Nigma Galaxy @ 45¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner $1.2K
Aug 21 SELL Team Spirit @ 99¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winner $2.3K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed