Big-Hearted-Configuration

0x554d219486e15c8c8f1f17963b281cb494e8eb95

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Big-Hearted-Configuration: −$17K on 29 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 45% (95% range 28%–63%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
−$17K
return −33.3%
Settled bets
29
$51K staked
Won
44.8%
95% range 28%–63%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 25 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
−$1.0K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$11K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$4.7K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 26 BUY No @ 75¢
Will Luxembourg win on 2026-09-26?
Will Luxembourg win on 2026-09-26? $2.1K
Sep 26 BUY No @ 74¢
Will Luxembourg win on 2026-09-26?
Will Luxembourg win on 2026-09-26? $3.0K
Sep 20 BUY No @ 70¢
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-20?
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-20? $1.1K
Sep 19 BUY Yes @ 76¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19?
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? $2.1K
Sep 19 BUY Yes @ 61¢
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?
FC Barcelona leading at halftime? $1.1K
Sep 19 SELL Yes @ 90¢
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Torino FC end in a draw?
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Torino FC end in a draw? $2.2K
Sep 16 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?
FC Barcelona leading at halftime? $4.3K
Sep 16 SELL Yes @ 99¢
PFC CSKA Sofia leading at halftime?
PFC CSKA Sofia leading at halftime? $1.1K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed