Cumbersome-Dock-Shield

0xeea3f08e8a36081233e4c4b4142fd61a7b56a6a2

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Cumbersome-Dock-Shield: +$15K on 58 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 36% (95% range 25%–49%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$15K
return —
Settled bets
58
$0 staked
Won
36.2%
95% range 25%–49%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$934
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$13K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$1.1K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 8 SELL Duje Ajdukovic @ 90¢
Braga: Vilius Gaubas vs Duje Ajdukovic
Braga: Vilius Gaubas vs Duje Ajdukovic $1.1K
Oct 3 SELL Coco Gauff @ 94¢
China Open: Coco Gauff vs Camila Osorio
China Open: Coco Gauff vs Camila Osorio $1.1K
Oct 1 SELL Jakub Mensik @ 79¢
China Open: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik
China Open: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik $1.1K
Oct 1 SELL Andrey Rublev @ 69¢
China Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Andrey Rublev
China Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Andrey Rublev $1.0K
Oct 1 SELL Juncheng Shang @ 76¢
China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez
China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez $1.1K
Sep 24 SELL Eduardo Ribeiro @ 94¢
Buenos Aires 2: Federico Coria vs Eduardo Ribeiro
Buenos Aires 2: Federico Coria vs Eduardo Ribeiro $2.1K
Sep 24 SELL Taro Daniel @ 92¢
Hangzhou Open: Dane Sweeny vs Taro Daniel
Hangzhou Open: Dane Sweeny vs Taro Daniel $1.0K
Sep 23 SELL Federico Agustin Gomez @ 87¢
San Diego 2: Trevor Svajda vs Federico Agustin Gomez
San Diego 2: Trevor Svajda vs Federico Agustin Gomez $1.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed