Inexperienced-Bustle

0xa31c26cb45331da8389bece7a1250fceb5d6bdf7

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Inexperienced-Bustle: +$7.0K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 40% (95% range 12%–77%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$7.0K
return +44.1%
Settled bets
5
$16K staked
Won
40.0%
95% range 12%–77%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$1.2K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$8.2K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 6 BUY Novak Djokovic @ 61¢
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur $8.4K
Oct 6 BUY Novak Djokovic @ 63¢
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur $5.1K
Oct 3 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will Iceland win on 2026-10-03?
Will Iceland win on 2026-10-03? $1.6K
Oct 3 BUY Yes @ 18¢
Will Belarus vs. San Marino end in a draw?
Will Belarus vs. San Marino end in a draw? $1.0K
Oct 3 BUY Yes @ 63¢
Will Estonia win on 2026-10-03?
Will Estonia win on 2026-10-03? $1.5K
Sep 17 SELL Kayla Day @ 47¢
Set Handicap: Liudmila Samsonova (-1.5) vs Kayla Day (+1.5)
Set Handicap: Liudmila Samsonova (-1.5) vs Kayla Day (+1.5) $1.0K

All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed