Dapper-Pub-Warmth
0x8546a601f7c7cc3dae7141f20b0e09e42bbf35b8
Dapper-Pub-Warmth: +$12K on 74 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 66% (95% range 55%–76%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$12K
return +2.8%
Settled bets
74
$432K staked
Won
66.2%
95% range 55%–76%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 40 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$15K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$20K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$6.6K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | SELL Keisuke Saitoh
@ 89¢
Wuning 3: Keisuke Saitoh vs Akira Santillan |
Wuning 3: Keisuke Saitoh vs Akira Santillan | $4.0K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Keisuke Saitoh
@ 82¢
Wuning 3: Keisuke Saitoh vs Akira Santillan |
Wuning 3: Keisuke Saitoh vs Akira Santillan | $2.3K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Keisuke Saitoh
@ 78¢
Wuning 3: Keisuke Saitoh vs Akira Santillan |
Wuning 3: Keisuke Saitoh vs Akira Santillan | $8.1K |
| Oct 7 | SELL Anastasia Abbagnato
@ 99.9¢
W35 Las Vegas, NV: Anastasia Kulikova vs Anastasia Abbagnato |
W35 Las Vegas, NV: Anastasia Kulikova vs Anastasia Abbagnato | $23K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Joao Lucas Da Silva
@ 78¢
Antofagasta: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Guido Justo |
Antofagasta: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Guido Justo | $43K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Joao Lucas Da Silva
@ 77¢
Antofagasta: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Guido Justo |
Antofagasta: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Guido Justo | $49K |
| Oct 7 | SELL Ryan Nijboer
@ 59¢
Braga: Mackenzie McDonald vs Ryan Nijboer |
Braga: Mackenzie McDonald vs Ryan Nijboer | $5.8K |
| Oct 7 | SELL Alexis Nguyen
@ 84¢
W50 Lexington, SC: Yuki Naito vs Alexis Nguyen |
W50 Lexington, SC: Yuki Naito vs Alexis Nguyen | $1.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.