Mad-Wound
0x1c7082bd81866ab9c4ead5eef614974f942ccaf0
Mad-Wound: +$2.4K on 86 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 81% (95% range 72%–88%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$2.4K
return +1.3%
Settled bets
86
$181K staked
Won
81.4%
95% range 72%–88%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 73 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$350
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$2.3K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$4.3K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | BUY Kamilla Rakhimova
@ 80¢
Wuhan Tennis Open, Qualification: Sofia Kenin vs Kamilla Rakhimova |
Wuhan Tennis Open, Qualification: Sofia Kenin vs Kamilla Rakhimova | $1.0K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Rockets
@ 99.73¢
Rockets vs. Mavericks |
Rockets vs. Mavericks | $1.0K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Antonia Ruzic
@ 80¢
Adana: Antonia Ruzic vs Leolia Jeanjean |
Adana: Antonia Ruzic vs Leolia Jeanjean | $1.5K |
| Oct 3 | SELL Juan Martin
@ 99.9¢
Bari: Juan Martin vs Matthew William Donald |
Bari: Juan Martin vs Matthew William Donald | $1.1K |
| Oct 2 | SELL Henrique Rocha
@ 82¢
Porto 2: August Holmgren vs Henrique Rocha |
Porto 2: August Holmgren vs Henrique Rocha | $1.1K |
| Oct 2 | BUY Linda Fruhvirtova
@ 73¢
China Open: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Liudmila Samsonova |
China Open: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Liudmila Samsonova | $2.5K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Abedallah Shelbayh
@ 89¢
Columbus: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Daniil Ostapenkov |
Columbus: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Daniil Ostapenkov | $2.5K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Hugo Grenier
@ 91¢
Porto 2: Tiago Pereira vs Hugo Grenier |
Porto 2: Tiago Pereira vs Hugo Grenier | $2.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.