Polymarket market · Politics & macro

Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Open as of the last weekly run · See it on Polymarket ↗

6 whales put $52K into this market since Sep 9, 78% of their buying on Yes. It hadn't resolved as of the last weekly run.

The whales on this market

6 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
Lively-Provider
3 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 42¢ $37K —
0x4558…a2b3
no settled record
No @ 62¢ $5.5K —
0xb32b…4a7a
no settled record
No @ 54¢ $5.0K —
0x8aae…918c
no settled record
Yes @ 42¢ $2.3K —
Careful-Bunch
77 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 54¢ $1.1K —
Crazy-Fishmonger
3 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 45¢ $1.0K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes
    $40K
    78% of whale buying · 3 buyers
  2. No
    $12K
    22% of whale buying · 3 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 9 to Oct 7, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed